Sunday, August 23, 2009

FFFL Draft Analysis

Here's an overview of my FFFL6 fantasy draft from Monday night. It's a PPR league where QBs get 7 points per TD pass, rather than the traditional 4 points.

First Round Analysis:

1. Peyton Manning 18 selects Adrian Peterson, RB, MIN - Maybe AP isn't the best RB choice in a PPR league, but he's the player that has the best chance to be the best (non-QB) player in the league.

2. Dominating Democrat selects Michael Turner, RB, ATL - Again, not a fantastic PPR player, but a really good player in general. I've told you my feelings about the "Curse of 370" before. If he's the exception to that rule, he could have a really good year. If not, Jerious Norwood becomes a superstar.

3. FabFour selects Maurice Jones-Drew, RB, JAC - A potential PPR fiend. He's gonna get the yards and he's probably gonna get the TDs. FabFour was auto-picking in this draft, so he was lucky to get such a great player.

4. zippyzayde selects Greg Olsen, TE, CHI - This pick was a mistake. He said in the draft that he meant to pick Forte here. Still, zip rescued his draft in later rounds, and although he could have done better with Forte, he still did fairly well, especially if Olsen becomes a top-flight.

5. ToBe Champs selects Matt Forte, RB, CHI - Capitalizing on an opponent's error is a necessary strategy and that was the case here. Forte is probably in the top two RBs in fantasy for PPR leagues.

6. Quad Squad selects Brian Westbrook, RB, PHI - Another PPR assassin, if he stays healthy, he's a beast. There are more questions about him this year than in the past, but while he's healthy he's everything to the Eagles offense.

7. The Terrible Tobe selects LaDanian Tomlinson, RB, SD - After a supposed "down" year for LT, he gets picked 7th overall?! Terrible Tobe got a steal here with a quality performer that has consistently produced big points for owners.

8. Becca's Wreckas selects DeAngelo Williams, RB, CAR - A repeat isn't particularly likely, but with Jonathan Stewart nursing an injury, Williams could have the load all to himself and that bodes well for him.

9. J&J's Trust Fund selects Larry Fitzgerald, WR, ARI - The first WR off the board doesn't come until pick number 9. A good selection because he's the best WR in the league in a passing offense and he catches a lot of balls. Madden curse be damned!

10. Mike's Last Min Team selects Steven Jackson, RB, STL - A very talented runner who can catch some, too. The injury bug has caught him the last few years, but he might be a steal if he can stay healthy.

11. Los Diablos Gatos selects Andre Johnson, WR, HOU - My first pick. He had 115 catches last year, and almost 100 yards per game. If he can stay healthy again, he's talented enough to be the best receiver in fantasy again.

12. vikes 2010 selects Randy Moss, WR, NE - I was hoping Moss would stick around long enough for me to pick him with the 14th pick, but alas, he was picked here. Without Brady last year, he had over 1,000 yards and 11 TDs. What will he do with Brady back in the fold?

Here were some of the best picks in this draft:

Peyton Manning 18: Round 5, 49 Overall: Darren McFadden, RB, OAK - This is a really good RB2 in a PPR league, assuming he can stay healthy. Oakland's rushing attack is formidable and McFadden seems poised to break out this year.

Dominating Democrat: Round 8, 95 Overall: Derrick Mason, WR, BAL - As a third receiver, Mason is a good PPR player. Questions about his injuries or his commitment make him questionable, but he might be fairly useful.

Fab Four: Round 3, 27 Overall: Calvin Johnson, WR, DET - In the third round, he got a true WR1. It doesn't matter who is playing QB, the Lions will be behind in games and thus, Johnson will get his catches.

ToBe Champs: Round 1, 5 Overall: Matt Forte, RB, CHI - Sometimes, you have to take what's given to you. Forte was dropped into his lap and he pounced. He could produce some of the best numbers this year of any RB.

Quad Squad: Round 4, 43 Overall: Reggie Bush, RB, NO - With Bush, Quad Squad has two of the best pass-catching RBs in fantasy. Bush has an injury issue, like Westbrook, but he's dynamic if he stays healthy.

The Terrible Tobe: Round 11, 127 Overall: LeSean McCoy, RB, PHI - The aforementioned Westbrook's propensity for getting injured at the wrong time makes McCoy a valuable handcuff or a potentially powerful trade chip.

Becca's Wreckas: Round 10, 113 Overall: Felix Jones, RB, DAL - If he can stay healthy, he's an explosive player who could be productive in the even of an injury to Marion Barber.

J&J's Trust Fund: Round 14, 160 Overall: Steve Smith, WR, NYG - He's a PPR threat, but he's also Eli's most reliable receiver now that Burress is doing the jailhouse rock. 75 catches and 800 yards wouldn't be totally out of the question for this third year receiver.

Mike's Last Min Team: Round 3, 34 Overall: Anquan Boldin, WR, ARI - I was targeting Boldin for my third rounder, but Mike's Team got him just before I could. Any time someone does that to me, it gets them a mention.

Los Diablos Gatos: Round 13, 155 Overall: Chris Henry, WR, CIN - He's done really well in the preseason and if he can keep his nose clean and get some catches this year, he's an excellent WR3. If not, hopefully Kevin Walter (2 first names, one of them is GREAT) will have a good year, too.

vikes 2010: Round 8, 85 Overall: Jerricho Cotchery, WR, NYJ - Pretty slick move to get a true WR1 this late in the draft. Granted, Cotchery's QB situation is shaky, but he's still a good pick and a proven PPR performer, plus vikes picked him up right before I was going to pick him, which, like I said, gets you a mention.

*Interestingly enough, I drafted Percy Harvin in the 13th round, with the 134th pick overall, the same exact pick I got him with in the Fantasy Factor Draft. Weird stuff happens in fantasy football sometimes.

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